CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2024-12-14T05:36:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2024-12-14T05:36ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/35648/-1
CME Note: Faint CME likely associated with flaring and a minor filament eruption seen around ~2024-12-14T05:12 near/south of Active Region 3916 decayed to a plage (~S15W69) or alternatively a less certain eruption of very long filament along longitude ~S25 centered around 35-40 deg longitude, maybe seen erupting in SUVI 304/284 (but it is more likely that the matter fell back). The CME is preceded by a similarly shaped even fainter 2024-12-14T04:00Z CME.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-12-17T19:00Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 50.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -505.95 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:57Z
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